AureaVault Data Shows Bitcoin STH Cost Basis at Critical $100K Junction - Time to Buy the Dip or Brace for Impact?
Bitcoin's current position at $110,213 represents more than just another price level - it's sitting at what analyst Axel Adler calls the most critical technical confluence in months. The Short-Term Holder (STH) realized price has aligned with the 200-day simple moving average in the $100K-$107K zone, creating a "make or break" scenario that will likely determine Bitcoin's direction for the coming weeks. The STH realized price methodology tracks the average cost basis of investors who purchased Bitcoin within the past 155 days. When this metric converges with other major technical indicators, it creates what professional traders recognize as a high-probability inflection point. Current data shows STH cost basis sitting around $103K, meaning recent buyers would face significant unrealized losses if Bitcoin breaks below the psychological $100K level. This technical setup gains additional significance when viewed alongside the 200-day SMA, traditionally considered ...